Astrology is The Forer Effect in action

2008 March 11

by Science, Reason & Rationality
Article ID: 129

I think most people already know what astrology is. After all, it has been used by people everywhere since ancient times right up to the modern age. But how does astrology so successfully fool people into believing it’s real? The answer is quite simple. Astrology creates something many people are not really aware of. It is called “illusion”.

Magicians have always used trickery to create illusions to convince others what he or she does is in fact real magic, real supernatural powers. Audiences are baffled because they can’t explain what they just saw. That’s what magic tricks are all about. Magic wouldn’t be as impressive if everyone knew how it was done, would it?

Some magic tricks exceed the expectation of an audience to the point they start to believe it couldn’t have been just a simple trick. They insist it had to be some kind of black magic, demonic power, or divine force. This is the first mistake that people make: they transform a certain assumption into a certain belief. They assume or believe something IS, rather than inquire or investigate HOW something is. The use of critical thinking and evidence-based investigation over faith-based living and emotion-driven thinking is extremely important when it comes to accepting or rejecting fantastic claims.

“What is wanted is not the will to believe, but the wish to find out, which is the exact opposite.” ~ Bertrand Russell

Understand that magicians do not selflessly perform magic tricks for your entertainment. They also want something else. It’s called “money”.

If they want to stand out, magicians have to constantly come up with new tricks that are better and more believable than other magicians. So the tricks get more sophisticated and more amazing every time. Nevertheless, they are all still illusions to trick your mind.

I’ve got no problem with magicians who make a living by entertaining others. But I do have a problem with magicians who call themselves legitimate psychics, astrologers, fortune tellers and prophets.

There are two kinds of charlatans in this category. The first one knows exactly what they’re doing. They’ve learned the tricks and use their skills to attain fame and fortune. The second one really believes that they have somehow attained special abilities or powers, and they want to help people through their “divine gifts.” The first one takes advantage of others through more trickery and deceit. The second one is just as deluded as his or her supporting believers, who also become victims of the first one, who encourages the second one, and all believers to keep on living in the rabbit hole so that the first one would still have a business to run. See how important network marketing is?

Now, let me show you how astrology works. First, consider the following as if it were given to you as a personality evaluation. Imagine I’m the astrologer and you’re the customer:

You have a need for other people to like and admire you, and yet you tend to be critical of yourself. While you have some personality weaknesses you are generally able to compensate for them. You have considerable unused capacity that you have not turned to your advantage. Disciplined and self-controlled on the outside, you tend to be worrisome and insecure on the inside. At times you have serious doubts as to whether you have made the right decision or done the right thing. You prefer a certain amount of change and variety and become dissatisfied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations. You also pride yourself as an independent thinker; and do not accept others’ statements without satisfactory proof. But you have found it unwise to be too frank in revealing yourself to others. At times you are extroverted, affable, and sociable, while at other times you are introverted, wary, and reserved. Some of your aspirations tend to be rather unrealistic.

Rate this assessment from 0 to 5, with “5″ meaning you felt the evaluation was an “excellent” and accurate assessment. I bet the average will be around 4.2 out of 5, or 84% accurate for most people.

This is a general personality description that applies to just about anyone, and it still becomes uniquely applicable to you as well. This is “The Forer effect”, as introduced by psychologist Bertram R. Forer.

Scientific studies of pseudosciences like astrology show they are not valid tools, yet there are so many satisfied customers who are convinced the readings, predictions, and assessments are accurate.

Below are two good videos of two well-known magicians – James Randi and Criss Angel – who demonstrate examples of The Forer Effect.

James Randi

James Randi shows how Astrology works with a simple experiment at a local University. This experiment proves that Astrology is nothing but a cunningly constructed illusion to fool believers for personal gain. This is a clip from PBS’ “Secrets of the Psychics”.

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Criss Angel

Criss Angel debunks psychics, tarot cards, astrology and horoscope all at one time, and shows us how strange it is that people want to believe in such things.

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15 Comments
2008 March 12

I’m sure this topic is quite hard to swallow for a lot of people. Nevertheless the truth must be told and charlatans must be exposed!

2008 March 17
Anonymous permalink

Astrology is a type of prophetic look into the future using the solar system and bodies in the sky. There are various types of the astrology that you’ll find done is anything but real. astrology is based on the relative positions and the movements of the celestial bodies. One of the main things that astrology claims to provide is an understanding of personality traits. Some of the astrologers believe that each person has a predestined life and their life can be reflected.

2008 March 19

“Some of the astrologers believe that each person has a predestined life and their life can be reflected.”

…And what empirical, repeatable, peer-reviewed testing have they done to prove their theory? Sorry, I need a little more evidence something will work before I spend my time and money on it.

2008 March 19

I concur.

2008 April 15

Thanks for creating the audio version. It’s quite kool! ;-)

2008 April 15

Thanks, Nick. Over the next month or two, DB Skeptic will incorporate most of its text articles into a podcast format also. The podcast itself is already functioning (scroll to the very bottom of this page and you’ll see a link for the Podcast RSS). And you’ll soon see an iTunes link somewhere on this page, once DBS gets confirmation back from iTunes that the podcast was accepted into their library.

2008 April 15

Wow! That’s fantastic! It’ll make things a lot more interesting…

2008 July 11

The people I’ve met who believe in Astrology couldn’t find Venus in the night sky, unless you pointed it out to them as a UFO.

2008 July 12

LOL! ;-D

2008 October 29

Perhaps the correct way to address the existence or non existence of astrology may be more like trying to find it, whatever it may be, rather than trying to burn it at the stake….:)

I have observed that astrology comes from our artistic creative side: it is irrational, it is art and poetry, not science. So lets study it as one studies and art. Lets learn to critique its products, and not simply seek to exterminate it.

How much does the art of birth charts have in common with some other art like painting. Let test the idea that *perhaps* humans are clever enough to produce two different arts which are each aimed at a common goal–the illumination of the idea of unique selfhood ( or Self-hood) by way of abstract symbolisms.

I test the notion by finding abstract graphic artists who apparently unintentionally project the pattern of their birth chart in their works of self-portraiture. Here’s one example (below) that I found where I search the web for abstract artists with published birth dates.

The abstract self portrait:
http://pedantus.free.fr/Ligal_E_SelfRegeneration.gif

I set up a birth chart for her provided date, and use twelve noon as the birth time …the time of course is not known to me, the experimenter. After noting where artistic similarities occur between abstract symbolism and the ‘planetary’ symbolisms of the birth chart, I adjust the chart in search of a good fit birth time ‘guess’. To be real brief here; I ‘guessed 3:14 PM, emailed the artist requesting the correct time, and learned that she was born at 3:10 PM . I make overlay comparisons, so here it is:
http://pedantus.free.fr/Ligal_E_Fig.1a.gif

It is not astrology’s fault that so few people are individualistically talented as projectors of astrological Self symbols. However, schizophrenic talents like Ted Kaczynski (Unabomber) do produce their symbolism in the form of metaphor and simile. So much so that I was able to find the actual birth date, May 22, 1942, by making an ‘astrology-based’ translation of the unknown individual’s published manifesto. And did so long before his own brother recognized the writing style and anti-social political sentiments.

I think to finally study astrology for what it is, some kind of poetic psychological art only incidentally involving totally unconscious, perhaps even mindless, planetary synchronizations is way over due.

The are no apophenic knee-jerk reactions in this study of ‘ horoscopic expression’ … the time of day and various symbol positions are not arbitrarily assigned…there is and objective, falsifiable, empiracal phenomenon here which Randy, et. al., simply *refuse* to see. Adverse peptic reations here are due to some emotional problem passed off as Skepticism, and not, Reason at work. Advocacy can be taken way to far– skeptical talking points and simple rhetoric suddenly becomes science. Astrology understands the poetry here, and well understands the specific poetry of each individual speaker…be he rational or not, it is all about the unity and diversity of our many human arts and our wide ranging (mis-?) perceptions….:)

dyslexic best wishes,

Roger L. Satterlee
Elmira, NY

2008 October 30

Did you even read the article in full? Or you just had a quick browse, watched the video a bit, and then wrote a comment?

2008 November 2
Immanuel Zorg permalink

1) Special Pleading logical fallacy.
2) Fallacy of inconsistency “It’s an art, cant be studied like a science…” and “it makes empirical, testable predictions…”

Many more, but those are the good ones. Sorry dude, your meaningless babble is refuted by my basic logic skills.

2008 November 2

Do you even know what Science is?

Your basic logic skills is the reason why you refute what YOU see as a meaningless babble. In fact, everything that doesn’t support your pre-determined beliefs will seem and be refuted by your brains as meaningless babble…

Nothing new…

2008 November 6
pedantus permalink

I realize the many great and perhaps wholly unnecessary problems we suffer due to a near total lack of critical thinking skills across this pale blue dot, but we can only make it worse by thinking Science provides us with an exhaustive explanation of the various phenomena of human consciousness. I could not be more sympathetic to the skeptic’s desire to rid the world of ignorance. It is for this very purpose, I have but shared with you the experience I had while testing a hypothesis; i.e., given the date of a subject’s birth, can one discover the birth time of a complete stranger by looking for symbolisms in an abstract self-portrait which seems similar to symbols we find used in the art of astrology. Here I but compare two arts and make no scientific claim. What science could there actually be in it…none I suspect. The material at hand represents things that are ontic in nature–simply there, and have no explanatory value–no cuasal agents are implied. However, any refusal to address the issue of this amazing coincidence, the fact that it turns out I was only mistaken by 4 minutes, seems to be a very unresonable in itself. I am only saying that we need to remember how much we still do not know about the mind and its ‘artistic’ creative capacities. These very same creative urges are as important to scientific discovery as any other human endeavor. There does seem to be an innexplicable relationship between this abstract self-portrait and the so-called birth chart of the artist. I only wish to communicate that it seems wholly un-scientific to exclusively address the merely immagined motivation of the experiment, and further, to simply refuse to discuss such usual matters as hypothesis formation, methods, proceedures, observations, and so forth. It is also interesting to note that ‘astrologers’ have exactly the same response to this underlying Art hypothesis, and also negate the phenomena out of hand for they feel quite strongly that their ‘science’ is also being offended…:)
Perhaps the spirit of inquiry need not be quite as demonic as ignorance itself..:)

Rog

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